Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.
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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of DE-visions centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Credits:
Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman
mat your right u were the one who helped me pass my math exam
I think my youtube is buged The "red button" iSn'T ThErE ~~~~~
#2 on trending
2:05 well I guess I'm that one person.
Damn this got posted this day and yet there’s already 1,857,131 views 🤪
Even after watching this, I still have no idea if he cheated or not
I actually can’t believe how mad people get over this topic lmao
Dream is constantly changing the Game files, would not be surprised if he cheated
100 times
Dream dosent have kakorrphiopphobia Whats kakorrphiopphobia? The fear of failing
Everyone: did dream cheat? Matpat: random answer Me: so did he cheat or not I didn’t watch the video
8:35 flipping coin 100 times with heads being there 60% of the time
MatPat needs to learn what bastion starts are
Matpat: I can save the day, But you can save the world Dream and Everyone:
Still don’t understand how these videos on math don’t bore me
I love how my state is mentioned about divorces and butter. Yep.
Finally, a theory that wont be biased.
Welp didn't see this on the trending tab man
If everything that happened with Dream happened all in the same game with the same piglin, I feel like the Speedrun mods would be in the right here, but with every new game, the odds reset; it’s like with every new game, there’s a new coin to flip. The fact that they’re all different games eliminates the idea of the odds stacking on each other and the “regression towards the mean” in my head. Would probably be closer to a 4.7% ender Pearl drop if it was 1 piglin in 1 world doing all of the barters, but it was different piglins over different worlds/games. Also, probability tells us the likelihood that something happens, not how often the event WILL happen; originally, it was a 1 in 8192 chance to get a shiny Pokémon, but you could very well never get that 1 shiny in your first 8192 resets.
Me pretending to understand what matpat is talking about: smort
I barley watch the guy ( I am subbed to him but I do not watch him alot) but from what I been seeing about it,I think he is innocent personally
12:10 _B r e a d_
Well he isn't wrong hes #2 trending
I personally don’t want to believe dream cheated but the fact that Matpat did not clear dream but instead avoided the question makes me think dream cheated.
wait the whole "speedrun race" idea is actually pretty good. set seed but *unknown* seed
*behold the spam of techno's fans*
Blm
I don't know how one can practice randomness.
Lmao this gone #2 on the DE-visions trending tab for gaming
Finally good math about this
The video is indeed trending...
I thought this drama was over are you trying to dig it back up?😩
You indirectly insulted my favorite artist at 9:51. I hate forever now, but I'll still watch your videos
9:54 all I have to say is that this video is #2 in trending at the moment. Wow.
1:40 am I seeing an under mounted grenade launcher shoot bullets or is this a weird gun?
Karl Jobst
Came to see someone spoil the video but everyone is just stealing other peoples comments. Ugh
I hate that you didnt get to the point earlier
Dont care, content matters.
youtube trending: ironic
Gacha gamers: i like those odds
RNG is part of many games. Saying some RNG games should not be on a speedrun list is wrong. It is exciting when RNG is a factor as a player. My 2 cents since watching the video.
1:20 yeah, wow miliseconds. It's not like a thousand of those pass every second.
Found this on the DE-visions trending tab
I was checking the trending tab and this video wasn’t there... *A FOOD THEORY VIDEO WAS!*
Answer to the question? *modCheck* Answer to the question? *modCheck* Answer to the question? *modCheck* Answer to the question?
2b2t
Everyone: “Everyone: Did Dream cheat?”
Comment section: 8% People who actually voice out their opinion 2% This type of comment 90% "Did Dream cheat?
Why would mr beast buy a bread Instead of buying GOLDEN PIZZA!!!
de-visions.com/detail/video-8XbixyN8Uv0.html
7 times cause u did fewer flips?
this is last year’s drama, mat 🤦♂️👀
True, i bet if you look at the 1.16 leaderboard, many runs would feature this "increased luck" because they spent countless hours speedrunning the bad runs until it finally boils down to the luckiest of runs.
Honestly? I just came here to listen to MatPat talk ab math I love hearing him ramble ab it (even if I know *nothing* he's talking ab)
YOU CAN TAKE MY DAMN HAT Okay I'll take my hat
Yes he did. No need for a video.
Lol #2 on trending 😂
There seems to be a lacking in url links on the video description in regards to the evidence you present. I do not disagree with the points you brought to reach your conclusion, I'd just like to check the math applied.
i think B
Player : so, why do you need more time in 1.16? Speedrunner :couse we use pinglin bartending Player: then , dont do it.
this is why i don't like game theory because all he dose in his video's is trend chase wow the third dream video nice clickbait
Everyone: Did dream cheat? Matpat: *insert this videos overused commentsection joke* *Me*: Thank you indeed Mat for breaking down the stats for us! I genuinely barely understood any of the math before and i didnt have the patience or will to understand it either. This video does help me understand why the controversy came up in the first place. Mat highlights exactly what the controversy is about and i have to say, im convinced. People are making it sound much much simpler than it actually is and are almost completely missing the point. In short minecraft speedrunning has a LOT to do with RNG and the piglin bartering does indeed introduce alot lot more variables. People who are analyzing all this could easily bend the variables to prove their point but in truth, you really cannot judge how many of those variables there are to be accounted for. The point isnt if dream got lucky or if he manipulated his RNG to get a good score, its that the whole thing doesnt matter, and that statistics is complicated, reaching a definite answer is n o t truly possible. I respect matpat for not leaning on either side. It was smart. I do critique him for the bit of a misleading title, but other than that, THIS video is the definition of an unbiased answer. Now YOU the viewer know whats actually going on with the math and why people keep debating about it. I also gotta appreciate Mat's suggestion for speedrunning, id totally watch something like that! For the person who took the time to read this, thank you for taking the time to do that! Have a cookie :) 🍪
Dream should have bought in Sheldon 😌😂😂😂😂😂
Everyone: Did Dream cheat? Me: Is water wet?
MatPat: watch this is gonna end up on the trending tab DE-visions: thats a good idea
how about just put dream on a lie detector, and ask him questions
Pssssst lie detectors arent 100% accurate and there are also hacks to get away with lying on one
this is the solution
ngl that's a great way to encourage engagement. And I'd say 7/10 because I'm pretty sure a larger sample size would increase the likelihood of a probability typical result.
What was his conclusion wait what
yeah, minecraft has been a total wreck the last month and this month