Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of DE-visions centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

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  • mat your right u were the one who helped me pass my math exam

    WaltseWaltseVor 10 Stunden
  • I think my youtube is buged The "red button" iSn'T ThErE ~~~~~

    Ducky YesDucky YesVor 10 Stunden
  • #2 on trending

    BallingoldBallingoldVor 10 Stunden
  • 2:05 well I guess I'm that one person.

    GlitchyGlitchyVor 10 Stunden
  • Damn this got posted this day and yet there’s already 1,857,131 views 🤪

    James FuerzaJames FuerzaVor 10 Stunden
  • Even after watching this, I still have no idea if he cheated or not

    Big Boi SqueezeBig Boi SqueezeVor 10 Stunden
  • I actually can’t believe how mad people get over this topic lmao

    Bob WabozkiBob WabozkiVor 10 Stunden
  • Dream is constantly changing the Game files, would not be surprised if he cheated

    Father ScallopFather ScallopVor 10 Stunden
  • 100 times

    Taco TacoTaco TacoVor 10 Stunden
  • Dream dosent have kakorrphiopphobia Whats kakorrphiopphobia? The fear of failing

    Ratz GamingRatz GamingVor 10 Stunden
  • Everyone: did dream cheat? Matpat: random answer Me: so did he cheat or not I didn’t watch the video

    Phantom GatoPhantom GatoVor 10 Stunden
  • 8:35 flipping coin 100 times with heads being there 60% of the time

    Sama LightSama LightVor 10 Stunden
  • MatPat needs to learn what bastion starts are

    Cameron JohnsonCameron JohnsonVor 10 Stunden
  • Matpat: I can save the day, But you can save the world Dream and Everyone:

    Assassin BombAssassin BombVor 10 Stunden
  • Still don’t understand how these videos on math don’t bore me

    Sharkmanax 190Sharkmanax 190Vor 10 Stunden
  • I love how my state is mentioned about divorces and butter. Yep.

    The Weird OneThe Weird OneVor 10 Stunden
  • Finally, a theory that wont be biased.

    TrickyTrickyVor 10 Stunden
  • Welp didn't see this on the trending tab man

    DeAtH_LiNe OpsDeAtH_LiNe OpsVor 10 Stunden
  • If everything that happened with Dream happened all in the same game with the same piglin, I feel like the Speedrun mods would be in the right here, but with every new game, the odds reset; it’s like with every new game, there’s a new coin to flip. The fact that they’re all different games eliminates the idea of the odds stacking on each other and the “regression towards the mean” in my head. Would probably be closer to a 4.7% ender Pearl drop if it was 1 piglin in 1 world doing all of the barters, but it was different piglins over different worlds/games. Also, probability tells us the likelihood that something happens, not how often the event WILL happen; originally, it was a 1 in 8192 chance to get a shiny Pokémon, but you could very well never get that 1 shiny in your first 8192 resets.

    Tyler RaffetyTyler RaffetyVor 10 Stunden
  • Me pretending to understand what matpat is talking about: smort

    Hyper AnimationHyper AnimationVor 10 Stunden
  • I barley watch the guy ( I am subbed to him but I do not watch him alot) but from what I been seeing about it,I think he is innocent personally

    mr. table legsmr. table legsVor 10 Stunden
  • 12:10 _B r e a d_

    Dr. Harold Pontiff CoomerDr. Harold Pontiff CoomerVor 10 Stunden
  • Well he isn't wrong hes #2 trending

    SciencerZSciencerZVor 10 Stunden
  • I personally don’t want to believe dream cheated but the fact that Matpat did not clear dream but instead avoided the question makes me think dream cheated.

    RogerDodgerGamingRogerDodgerGamingVor 10 Stunden
  • wait the whole "speedrun race" idea is actually pretty good. set seed but *unknown* seed

    BlockOfWoodBlockOfWoodVor 10 Stunden
  • *behold the spam of techno's fans*

    PanKitiPanKitiVor 10 Stunden
  • Blm

    BoiviorBoiviorVor 10 Stunden
  • I don't know how one can practice randomness.

    Harshvardhan JhaHarshvardhan JhaVor 10 Stunden
  • Lmao this gone #2 on the DE-visions trending tab for gaming

    3katsiMe3katsiMeVor 10 Stunden
  • Finally good math about this

    Tommy XTommy XVor 10 Stunden
  • The video is indeed trending...

    Pixle PsychoPixle PsychoVor 10 Stunden
  • I thought this drama was over are you trying to dig it back up?😩

    Midget MechanicMidget MechanicVor 10 Stunden
  • You indirectly insulted my favorite artist at 9:51. I hate forever now, but I'll still watch your videos

    Dante SmithDante SmithVor 10 Stunden
  • 9:54 all I have to say is that this video is #2 in trending at the moment. Wow.

    The one person that still plays brawlThe one person that still plays brawlVor 10 Stunden
  • 1:40 am I seeing an under mounted grenade launcher shoot bullets or is this a weird gun?

    Arik _Arik _Vor 10 Stunden
  • Karl Jobst

    BlockOfWoodBlockOfWoodVor 10 Stunden
  • Came to see someone spoil the video but everyone is just stealing other peoples comments. Ugh

    TheChosenDragon1TheChosenDragon1Vor 10 Stunden
  • I hate that you didnt get to the point earlier

  • Dont care, content matters.

    Red9ineRed9ineVor 10 Stunden
  • youtube trending: ironic

    Eric SheppeardEric SheppeardVor 10 Stunden
  • Gacha gamers: i like those odds

    Just RanoluJust RanoluVor 10 Stunden
  • RNG is part of many games. Saying some RNG games should not be on a speedrun list is wrong. It is exciting when RNG is a factor as a player. My 2 cents since watching the video.

    Turo BotTuro BotVor 10 Stunden
  • 1:20 yeah, wow miliseconds. It's not like a thousand of those pass every second.

    Ganondoof _Ganondoof _Vor 10 Stunden
  • Found this on the DE-visions trending tab

    Your Boi JakaYour Boi JakaVor 10 Stunden
  • I was checking the trending tab and this video wasn’t there... *A FOOD THEORY VIDEO WAS!*

    Player 000Player 000Vor 10 Stunden
  • Answer to the question? *modCheck* Answer to the question? *modCheck* Answer to the question? *modCheck* Answer to the question?

    Dane FilmsDane FilmsVor 10 Stunden
  • 2b2t

    Alfie CarterAlfie CarterVor 10 Stunden
  • Everyone: “Everyone: Did Dream cheat?”

    Eric LeeEric LeeVor 10 Stunden
  • Comment section: 8% People who actually voice out their opinion 2% This type of comment 90% "Did Dream cheat?

    Cyner's Arcux_Cyner's Arcux_Vor 10 Stunden
  • Why would mr beast buy a bread Instead of buying GOLDEN PIZZA!!!

    Werty MembroteWerty MembroteVor 10 Stunden

    MastRePratik !MastRePratik !Vor 10 Stunden
  • 7 times cause u did fewer flips?

    Cedric Vincent Delos TrinosCedric Vincent Delos TrinosVor 10 Stunden
  • this is last year’s drama, mat 🤦‍♂️👀

    Illeyan AtifIlleyan AtifVor 10 Stunden
  • True, i bet if you look at the 1.16 leaderboard, many runs would feature this "increased luck" because they spent countless hours speedrunning the bad runs until it finally boils down to the luckiest of runs.

    Aurelius VincentAurelius VincentVor 10 Stunden
  • Honestly? I just came here to listen to MatPat talk ab math I love hearing him ramble ab it (even if I know *nothing* he's talking ab)

    Axel Jacob LindseyAxel Jacob LindseyVor 10 Stunden
  • YOU CAN TAKE MY DAMN HAT Okay I'll take my hat

    ReadyMadeConorReadyMadeConorVor 10 Stunden
  • Yes he did. No need for a video.

    Crazy56UCrazy56UVor 10 Stunden
  • Lol #2 on trending 😂

    Kuzu WillowKuzu WillowVor 10 Stunden
  • There seems to be a lacking in url links on the video description in regards to the evidence you present. I do not disagree with the points you brought to reach your conclusion, I'd just like to check the math applied.

    Francisco CoitoFrancisco CoitoVor 10 Stunden
  • i think B

    shadow youtubeshadow youtubeVor 10 Stunden
  • Player : so, why do you need more time in 1.16? Speedrunner :couse we use pinglin bartending Player: then , dont do it.

    Octavian AlexeOctavian AlexeVor 10 Stunden
  • this is why i don't like game theory because all he dose in his video's is trend chase wow the third dream video nice clickbait

  • Everyone: Did dream cheat? Matpat: *insert this videos overused commentsection joke* *Me*: Thank you indeed Mat for breaking down the stats for us! I genuinely barely understood any of the math before and i didnt have the patience or will to understand it either. This video does help me understand why the controversy came up in the first place. Mat highlights exactly what the controversy is about and i have to say, im convinced. People are making it sound much much simpler than it actually is and are almost completely missing the point. In short minecraft speedrunning has a LOT to do with RNG and the piglin bartering does indeed introduce alot lot more variables. People who are analyzing all this could easily bend the variables to prove their point but in truth, you really cannot judge how many of those variables there are to be accounted for. The point isnt if dream got lucky or if he manipulated his RNG to get a good score, its that the whole thing doesnt matter, and that statistics is complicated, reaching a definite answer is n o t truly possible. I respect matpat for not leaning on either side. It was smart. I do critique him for the bit of a misleading title, but other than that, THIS video is the definition of an unbiased answer. Now YOU the viewer know whats actually going on with the math and why people keep debating about it. I also gotta appreciate Mat's suggestion for speedrunning, id totally watch something like that! For the person who took the time to read this, thank you for taking the time to do that! Have a cookie :) 🍪

    SporkleBM but RareSporkleBM but RareVor 10 Stunden
  • Dream should have bought in Sheldon 😌😂😂😂😂😂

    Ruchir ChhabraRuchir ChhabraVor 10 Stunden
  • Everyone: Did Dream cheat? Me: Is water wet?

    Dair HatDair HatVor 10 Stunden
  • MatPat: watch this is gonna end up on the trending tab DE-visions: thats a good idea

    E_CORNE_CORNVor 10 Stunden
  • how about just put dream on a lie detector, and ask him questions

    GamingMarshmelloGamingMarshmelloVor 10 Stunden
    • Pssssst lie detectors arent 100% accurate and there are also hacks to get away with lying on one

      SporkleBM but RareSporkleBM but RareVor 10 Stunden
    • this is the solution

      GamingMarshmelloGamingMarshmelloVor 10 Stunden
  • ngl that's a great way to encourage engagement. And I'd say 7/10 because I'm pretty sure a larger sample size would increase the likelihood of a probability typical result.

    JayBlaze11JayBlaze11Vor 10 Stunden
  • What was his conclusion wait what

    SkØrnSkØrnVor 10 Stunden
  • yeah, minecraft has been a total wreck the last month and this month

    ItsB ForBeanItsB ForBeanVor 10 Stunden
Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.